Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Beagle 55.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Brassard
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Brassard
Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Brassard
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
57.2% (353)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
87.5% (16)
-33.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
51.6% (95)
-1.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Brassard
Beagle
Home
52.1% (211)
62.0% (200)
Away
49.6% (119)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Brassard
Beagle
P1
47.3%
55.8%
P2
56.6%
60.1%
P3
47.8%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |