Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Thornton 46.2% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 51.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 50.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Brassard
Thornton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
43.5% (161)
+7.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
50.0% (14)
+3.8%
On even strength, Brassard has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thornton
Home
52.1% (211)
41.5% (106)
Away
49.6% (119)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Brassard
Thornton
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
56.6%
41.0%
P3
47.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%