Derick Brassard vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 23-14 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 70.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 70.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 80.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Brassard
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
23
(37 meetings)
14
23
Brassard
Thornton
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
4
Brassard
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
8
Brassard
Thornton
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
11
Brassard
Thornton
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
53.5% (6,640)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
56.7% (427)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thornton
Home
50.6% (5,020)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Brassard
Thornton
P1
49.0%
55.0%
P2
49.8%
53.3%
P3
48.4%
54.4%
OT
51.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |