Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 22-21 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Brassard
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
22
(43 meetings)
21
22
Brassard
Eller
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
11
8
Brassard
Eller
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
10
Brassard
Eller
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Brassard
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
52.8% (621)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
46.7% (1,751)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Brassard
Eller
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Brassard
Eller
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
50.1%
P3
48.4%
50.2%
OT
51.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |