Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Eller 53.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Brassard
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Brassard
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
53.8% (865)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
57.1% (21)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
52.6% (137)
-2.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Brassard
Eller
Home
51.7% (143)
56.4% (486)
Away
48.3% (143)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Brassard
Eller
P1
46.4%
55.1%
P2
50.6%
55.3%
P3
53.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |