Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Eller 49.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Brassard
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Eller
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.1% (786)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
45.0% (80)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.6% (165)
+6.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Brassard
Eller
Home
52.1% (211)
51.2% (510)
Away
49.6% (119)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Brassard
Eller
P1
47.3%
50.7%
P2
56.6%
49.0%
P3
47.8%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |