Derick Brassard vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 83.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 79.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 83.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Brassard
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Brassard
Barzal
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
6
Brassard
Barzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
41.9% (3,565)
+6.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
43.4% (205)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
42.3% (26)
+8.0%
On power play, Brassard has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Brassard
Barzal
Home
50.6% (5,020)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Brassard
Barzal
P1
49.0%
40.7%
P2
49.8%
44.4%
P3
48.4%
41.0%
OT
51.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
48.8%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |