Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Barzal 46.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 66.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 67.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Brassard
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Barzal
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
46.6% (483)
+4.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
40.9% (22)
+12.9%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Brassard
Barzal
Home
52.1% (211)
49.6% (242)
Away
49.6% (119)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Brassard
Barzal
P1
47.3%
42.4%
P2
56.6%
49.5%
P3
47.8%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |