Derick Brassard vs Mikael Backlund
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Backlund 50.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 50.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 78.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 67.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Brassard
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Brassard
Backlund
Last 8: Brassard 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
51.1% (1,070)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
50.5% (91)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
45.2% (248)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Brassard
Backlund
Home
50.5% (543)
49.3% (702)
Away
47.7% (507)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Brassard
Backlund
P1
48.8%
46.3%
P2
49.0%
53.8%
P3
49.6%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |