Derick Brassard vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 26-24 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 66.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Brassard
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
24
(50 meetings)
26
24
Brassard
Backlund
Last 10: Brassard 8-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
14
10
Brassard
Backlund
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
11
Brassard
Backlund
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
6
3
Brassard
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
49.7% (13,410)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
51.6% (1,336)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Brassard
Backlund
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Brassard
Backlund
P1
49.0%
48.5%
P2
49.8%
50.3%
P3
48.4%
48.4%
OT
51.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |