Derick Brassard vs Mikael Backlund
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.5%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 59.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Brassard
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Backlund
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Brassard
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.5% (983)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
49.4% (87)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.3% (159)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Brassard
Backlund
Home
52.1% (211)
51.6% (653)
Away
49.6% (119)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Brassard
Backlund
P1
47.3%
50.0%
P2
56.6%
49.8%
P3
47.8%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |