Derick Brassard vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Brassard wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 70.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 64.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 56.3%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Brassard
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Brassard
MacKinnon
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
3
Brassard
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
48.5% (439)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
54.8% (42)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
25.0% (12)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brassard is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Brassard shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Brassard
MacKinnon
Home
52.6% (247)
52.5% (221)
Away
52.7% (188)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Brassard
MacKinnon
P1
52.5%
50.5%
P2
56.6%
45.5%
P3
49.0%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |