Derick Brassard vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 54.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 61.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Brassard
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
14
(32 meetings)
18
14
Brassard
MacKinnon
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
2
Brassard
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
5
Brassard
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Brassard
MacKinnon
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
42.8% (502)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Brassard
MacKinnon
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Brassard
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
49.8%
46.6%
P3
48.4%
46.1%
OT
51.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |