Derick Brassard vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Derick Brassard holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Brassard 49.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor Brassard leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone Brassard 62.7%
Defensive zone Brassard 54.9%
Neutral zone Brassard 61.9%
Result Derick Brassard favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Brassard MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
18 - 14 (32 meetings)
18
14
Brassard MacKinnon
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
2
Brassard MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
5
Brassard MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Brassard MacKinnon
14 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Brassard
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
42.8% (502)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +7.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Brassard
MacKinnon
Home
50.6% (5,020)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Brassard
MacKinnon
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
49.8%
46.6%
P3
48.4%
46.1%
OT
51.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%
52.0%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 31, 2021 3 00:00 Neutral Derick Brassard
Mar 31, 2021 1 00:00 Neutral Derick Brassard
Mar 23, 2021 3 10:44 Offensive Derick Brassard
Mar 23, 2021 3 08:41 Neutral Derick Brassard
Mar 23, 2021 3 06:38 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 23, 2021 3 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 22, 2021 3 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 22, 2021 1 03:01 Neutral Derick Brassard
Mar 22, 2021 1 00:00 Neutral Derick Brassard
Feb 26, 2021 3 05:07 Offensive Derick Brassard
Nov 11, 2017 3 03:38 Defensive Derick Brassard
Nov 11, 2017 1 11:12 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 11, 2017 1 10:59 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 11, 2017 1 08:34 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 10, 2017 2 18:33 Defensive Derick Brassard
Mar 11, 2017 3 06:12 Defensive Derick Brassard
Mar 11, 2017 2 00:09 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 11, 2017 2 00:00 Neutral Derick Brassard
Mar 2, 2017 3 04:55 Offensive Derick Brassard
Mar 2, 2017 3 04:49 Offensive Derick Brassard