Derick Brassard vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Brassard
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
44.7% (1,053)
+4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
36.8% (95)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
On power play, Brassard has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Brassard
MacKinnon
Home
51.7% (143)
49.4% (553)
Away
48.3% (143)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Brassard
MacKinnon
P1
46.4%
45.3%
P2
50.6%
42.7%
P3
53.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%