Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.8%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 52.1% vs Bonino 52.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 65.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 60.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Brassard
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Brassard
Bonino
Last 10: Brassard 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
0
Brassard
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (368)
54.9% (395)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
60.9% (110)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.5% (186)
-3.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Brassard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Brassard shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bonino
Home
52.6% (247)
52.3% (363)
Away
52.7% (188)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Brassard
Bonino
P1
52.5%
52.0%
P2
56.6%
56.1%
P3
49.0%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
52.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |