Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Bonino 48.5% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Brassard
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
48.1% (324)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
57.9% (38)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
44.3% (88)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bonino
Home
51.7% (143)
52.0% (244)
Away
48.3% (143)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Brassard
Bonino
P1
46.4%
48.0%
P2
50.6%
42.9%
P3
53.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%