Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 35-23 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Brassard
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
23
(58 meetings)
35
23
Brassard
Bonino
Last 10: Brassard 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
15
4
Brassard
Bonino
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
11
12
Brassard
Bonino
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
9
7
Brassard
Bonino
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
54.1% (972)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.6% (1,693)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bonino
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Brassard
Bonino
P1
49.0%
50.6%
P2
49.8%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
51.1%
OT
51.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |