Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 51.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Brassard
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Suzuki
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Brassard
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
50.3% (1,075)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
49.3% (219)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.1% (116)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Brassard
Suzuki
Home
52.1% (211)
53.6% (711)
Away
49.6% (119)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Brassard
Suzuki
P1
47.3%
48.5%
P2
56.6%
51.7%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |