Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.9%
Defensive zone
Brassard 60.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 52.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Brassard
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Suzuki
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Brassard
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
47.0% (1,066)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
49.5% (204)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
46.6% (131)
+3.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Brassard
Suzuki
Home
51.7% (143)
49.4% (686)
Away
48.3% (143)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Brassard
Suzuki
P1
46.4%
45.6%
P2
50.6%
46.9%
P3
53.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |