Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Johansen 52.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 50.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 76.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Brassard
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Johansen
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
51.9% (1,006)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
56.0% (207)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
42.4% (33)
+0.5%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brassard is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Brassard shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Brassard
Johansen
Home
50.9% (666)
56.4% (633)
Away
49.6% (680)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Brassard
Johansen
P1
53.3%
51.4%
P2
47.5%
52.9%
P3
49.9%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |