Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 53.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Brassard
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Brassard
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
49.4% (1,010)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
62.3% (236)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
67.2% (67)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Brassard
Johansen
Home
52.1% (211)
54.7% (655)
Away
49.6% (119)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Brassard
Johansen
P1
47.3%
52.2%
P2
56.6%
50.7%
P3
47.8%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |