Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 55.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 83.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 71.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Brassard
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Brassard
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Brassard
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Brassard
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
59.8% (625)
-10.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
58.2% (196)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
51.9% (27)
-1.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Brassard
Johansen
Home
51.7% (143)
60.3% (436)
Away
48.3% (143)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Brassard
Johansen
P1
46.4%
61.3%
P2
50.6%
60.4%
P3
53.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |