Derick Brassard vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 50.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Brassard 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (392)
39.8% (508)
+8.7%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
60.5% (38)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
20.0% (5)
+7.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brassard is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Brassard shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.7% (193)
42.6% (237)
Away
47.0% (253)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.9%
33.3%
P2
52.1%
45.1%
P3
46.5%
44.6%
OT
14.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |