Derick Brassard vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 43-36 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
43
(79 meetings)
36
43
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
17
24
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
44.9% (8,756)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
50.7% (839)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
37.9% (879)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.6% (5,020)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.0%
45.1%
P2
49.8%
43.9%
P3
48.4%
45.3%
OT
51.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |