Derick Brassard vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
45.4% (527)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
41.2% (17)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
44.9% (138)
+5.1%
On power play, Brassard has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.7% (143)
46.1% (336)
Away
48.3% (143)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.4%
49.1%
P2
50.6%
45.3%
P3
53.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |