Derick Brassard vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
45.0% (1,011)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
46.7% (135)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
31.1% (122)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.7% (616)
43.8% (625)
Away
46.1% (609)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Brassard
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.2%
47.8%
P2
50.9%
39.5%
P3
51.5%
44.2%
OT
70.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |