Derick Brassard vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 47 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 59-52 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Brassard
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
59
-
52
(111 meetings)
59
52
Brassard
O'Reilly
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
29
18
Brassard
O'Reilly
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
19
22
Brassard
O'Reilly
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
11
12
Brassard
O'Reilly
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
51.4% (2,811)
-1.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Brassard
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (5,020)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Brassard
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.6%
P2
49.8%
57.0%
P3
48.4%
55.1%
OT
51.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |