Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 65.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Brassard
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
60.4% (260)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
54.0% (261)
-4.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Brassard
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (211)
54.9% (801)
Away
49.6% (119)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Brassard
O'Reilly
P1
47.3%
58.0%
P2
56.6%
56.7%
P3
47.8%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%