Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 52.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Brassard
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
56.1% (690)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
64.6% (96)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
45.9% (109)
+4.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Brassard
O'Reilly
Home
51.7% (143)
58.3% (408)
Away
48.3% (143)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Brassard
O'Reilly
P1
46.4%
57.7%
P2
50.6%
54.8%
P3
53.9%
55.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%