Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Brassard
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Brassard
Kuraly
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
2
Brassard
Kuraly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Brassard
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
46.0% (661)
+3.0%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
77.8% (9)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
47.1% (51)
+19.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kuraly
Home
50.5% (543)
47.2% (335)
Away
47.7% (507)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Brassard
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
47.1%
P2
49.0%
44.6%
P3
49.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |