Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Brassard
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
52.3% (982)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
41.9% (43)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
39.2% (245)
+10.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kuraly
Home
52.1% (211)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.6% (119)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Brassard
Kuraly
P1
47.3%
49.5%
P2
56.6%
49.6%
P3
47.8%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%