Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.6%). Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Brassard
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Brassard
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
49.2% (901)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
68.2% (22)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
49.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kuraly
Home
51.7% (143)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.3% (143)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Brassard
Kuraly
P1
46.4%
50.9%
P2
50.6%
49.5%
P3
53.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |