Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brassard wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Kuraly 49.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 66.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Brassard
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Brassard
Kuraly
Last 5: Brassard 5-0 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
52.4% (416)
+3.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
57.1% (7)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
32.0% (97)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Brassard is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Brassard shoots left. Kuraly is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (174)
52.1% (259)
Away
57.9% (183)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Brassard
Kuraly
P1
47.1%
46.8%
P2
60.6%
52.4%
P3
57.4%
47.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |