Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Brassard
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Brassard
Aho
Last 9: Brassard 5-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Brassard
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.6% (819)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
58.4% (173)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On power play, Aho has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Brassard
Aho
Home
52.1% (211)
53.9% (568)
Away
49.6% (119)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Brassard
Aho
P1
47.3%
55.4%
P2
56.6%
51.2%
P3
47.8%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |