Derick Brassard vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 61.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 52.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Brassard
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Brassard
Aho
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Brassard
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
50.1% (6,619)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
46.3% (464)
+4.0%
On power play, Aho has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Brassard
Aho
Home
50.6% (5,020)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Brassard
Aho
P1
49.0%
51.1%
P2
49.8%
52.0%
P3
48.4%
50.7%
OT
51.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |