Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Hertl 50.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 70.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 62.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 62.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Brassard
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brassard
Hertl
Last 8: Brassard 2-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Brassard
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Brassard
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
51.5% (891)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
54.8% (135)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
41.5% (130)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brassard is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Brassard shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hertl
Home
50.5% (543)
52.6% (544)
Away
47.7% (507)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Brassard
Hertl
P1
48.8%
49.4%
P2
49.0%
51.7%
P3
49.6%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:06 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |