Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 60.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Brassard
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
61.0% (246)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.1% (136)
+5.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hertl
Home
52.1% (211)
55.2% (696)
Away
49.6% (119)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Brassard
Hertl
P1
47.3%
55.4%
P2
56.6%
54.8%
P3
47.8%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%