Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.4% vs Hertl 51.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 55.5%
Defensive zone
Brassard 63.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 63.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Brassard
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Hertl
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Brassard
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brassard
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (517)
51.7% (869)
-3.0%
Power Play
39.0% (59)
55.7% (176)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
44.9% (138)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brassard is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Brassard shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hertl
Home
50.9% (348)
51.8% (583)
Away
44.2% (240)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Brassard
Hertl
P1
48.0%
52.5%
P2
47.3%
50.9%
P3
48.9%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |