Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.5% vs Bozak 52.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 68.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 60.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 66.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Brassard
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Bozak
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Brassard
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Brassard
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (392)
52.8% (697)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
50.9% (171)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
53.3% (195)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
49.7% (193)
52.1% (530)
Away
47.0% (253)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
46.9%
54.1%
P2
52.1%
50.6%
P3
46.5%
53.4%
OT
14.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |