Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 55-35 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 82.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 73.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Brassard
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
55
(90 meetings)
35
55
Brassard
Bozak
Last 10: Brassard 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
10
19
Brassard
Bozak
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
14
27
Brassard
Bozak
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
11
9
Brassard
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
55.2% (1,990)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.3%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
50.6% (5,020)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
49.0%
53.2%
P2
49.8%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
54.5%
OT
51.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |