Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Bozak 46.2% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 66.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Brassard
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
46.7% (338)
+4.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
50.0% (6)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
32.6% (43)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
52.1% (211)
47.9% (194)
Away
49.6% (119)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
47.3%
40.2%
P2
56.6%
51.4%
P3
47.8%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%