Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.7%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Bozak 48.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 76.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 68.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 59.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Brassard
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brassard
Bozak
Last 7: Brassard 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
Brassard
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
48.8% (1,036)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
53.8% (225)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
39.1% (138)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
47.5% (459)
50.8% (608)
Away
48.5% (518)
47.0% (791)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
48.0%
48.0%
P2
50.1%
48.1%
P3
44.9%
49.8%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |