Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Brassard wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.2% vs Bozak 53.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 70.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 69.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Brassard
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Brassard
Bozak
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Brassard
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Brassard
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Brassard
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (936)
53.6% (977)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.1% (104)
52.2% (186)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
100.0% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
50.5% (543)
55.4% (583)
Away
47.7% (507)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
48.8%
51.9%
P2
49.0%
51.1%
P3
49.6%
57.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |