Derick Brassard vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.7%). Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 68.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Brassard
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brassard
Karlsson
Last 5: Brassard 4-1 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.4% (735)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
63.5% (115)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
42.9% (133)
+7.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Brassard
Karlsson
Home
52.1% (211)
52.3% (524)
Away
49.6% (119)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Brassard
Karlsson
P1
47.3%
50.7%
P2
56.6%
51.4%
P3
47.8%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |