Derick Brassard vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 67.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Brassard
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
28
(54 meetings)
26
28
Brassard
Karlsson
Last 10: Brassard 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
12
10
Brassard
Karlsson
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
8
9
Brassard
Karlsson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
6
9
Brassard
Karlsson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.2% (1,109)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Brassard
Karlsson
Home
50.6% (5,020)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Brassard
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
50.3%
P2
49.8%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
52.4%
OT
51.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |