Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.0% vs Backlund 49.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 50.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.5%
Neutral zone
Shore 50.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Shore
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Shore
Backlund
Last 7: Shore 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Shore
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
0
Shore
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Shore
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
49.2% (884)
-9.2%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
44.3% (61)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
57.0% (86)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shore is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Shore shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Shore
Backlund
Home
38.0% (121)
49.3% (531)
Away
45.5% (88)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Shore
Backlund
P1
47.9%
47.1%
P2
33.8%
53.7%
P3
40.6%
47.8%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
41.1%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |