Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Shore wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Backlund 49.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Shore leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 57.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 61.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Shore
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Shore
Backlund
Last 10: Shore 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Shore
Backlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
8
2
Shore
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
5
Shore
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
49.7% (13,410)
-2.1%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
51.6% (1,336)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
44.0% (2,446)
+3.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shore is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Shore shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Shore
Backlund
Home
46.7% (852)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.9% (758)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Shore
Backlund
P1
46.4%
48.5%
P2
47.6%
50.3%
P3
47.6%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Devin Shore |