Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 48.4% vs Backlund 50.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 54.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 55.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Shore
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Shore
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Shore
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (185)
51.5% (983)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
45.3% (159)
-0.5%
On even strength, Backlund has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Shore is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Shore shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Shore
Backlund
Home
47.1% (121)
51.6% (653)
Away
48.4% (93)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Shore
Backlund
P1
51.4%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
49.8%
P3
44.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Devin Shore |