Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dube wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.5% vs McLeod 59.6% (-15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dube 88.7%
Defensive zone
Dube 51.9%
Neutral zone
Dube 77.5%
Result
Dillon Dube favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dube
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dube
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Dube
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (62)
61.5% (792)
-18.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
65.2% (23)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
55.6% (153)
-14.2%
On even strength, McLeod has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Dube is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Dube shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Dube
McLeod
Home
40.4% (57)
62.0% (460)
Away
51.2% (43)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Dube
McLeod
P1
37.8%
61.5%
P2
50.0%
63.6%
P3
48.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |