Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs McLeod 58.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dube 85.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Dube
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dube
McLeod
Last 10: Dube 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dube
3
0
Dube
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Dube
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dube
2
1
Dube
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
59.2% (2,894)
-13.3%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
57.4% (101)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
53.5% (525)
-10.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Dube
McLeod
Home
47.8% (186)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
45.8% (216)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Dube
McLeod
P1
44.5%
58.7%
P2
44.7%
59.9%
P3
53.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |